When is the Tokyo to Manila route most turbulent?

Check the monthly chart for exact patterns. Transatlantic and mountain routes are typically roughest in winter (Dec–Mar). Tropical routes peak during monsoon season.

HND to MNL Turbulence Forecast

Q: Is the Tokyo to Manila flight turbulent?

The HND–MNL route typically experiences moderate turbulence. Light turbulence may occur — mostly smooth with occasional bumps.

Q: Which seat is smoothest on HND to MNL?

Wing seats are smoothest. On a Boeing 777 · Boeing 787, that's rows 30–42. Avoid the rear of the aircraft.

Q: How long is the flight from HND to MNL?

The HND to MNL flight takes approximately 4h 30m, covering 2,103 miles at 37,000 feet.

Is the Tokyo to Manila flight turbulent? Live forecast & historical patterns.

Live forecast

HND

→

MNL

Tokyo · Manila · 4h 30m

Turb Score

4h 30m

Duration

1,828 nm

Distance

37,000 ft

Cruise Alt.

Moderate

Typical

⚠️ Moderate turbulence today

Get exact timing, altitude & best seat — free

Download free on the App Store

★★★★★ 4.8 · Free · No sign-up

Scan to get the full forecast ★★★★★ 4.8 · Free on the App Store · No sign-up

Typical turbulence along the route

Historical average pattern for HND–MNL

0h1h2h3h4h5h6h4h 30m

Smooth

Light

Moderate

Heavy

About the HND–MNL route

The Tokyo to Manila route crosses the North Atlantic, where the jet stream is the primary source of turbulence. Flying at 37,000 feet, the aircraft encounters the strongest bumps roughly 2–5 hours into the flight. This is clear-air turbulence — no clouds, no visual warning — which makes a pre-flight forecast especially valuable.

The route is served by ANA, Philippine Airlines, JAL on Boeing 777 · Boeing 787 aircraft, with flights typically cruising at 37,000 feet over a distance of 2,103 miles (1,828 nautical miles).

💡 Tip: Turbulence peaks mid-flight over the Atlantic. First and last hour are usually smooth.

Turbulence levels on HND–MNL

What to expect at each phase of the flight

SmoothDeparture & arrival — climb and descent phases are generally calm

LightMinor bumps — drink stays in your cup, walking feels slightly unsteady

ModerateNoticeable bumps — stay seated with seatbelt on, service may pause

HeavyStrong jolts — unsecured items move, crew seated. Rare but possible

Get minute-by-minute timing for your specific flight

Download on the App Store — Free

Best time to fly HND–MNL

Turbulence by month

Smooth

Light

Moderate

Rough

Best seat on HND–MNL

Boeing 777 (312 seats)

Front

Rows 1–29

Light

✓ Wing

Rows 30–42

Smoothest

Rear

Rows 43+

Rougher

Wing seats are over the center of gravity — least affected by turbulence.

What you'll see in the app

Full forecast, live map & seat recommendations

Similar routes

Other popular routes with turbulence data

See all transatlantic flights →

Passenger Reports

More turbulent than I expected. The over the subcontinent section was pretty rough — overhead bins rattling, some gasps from other passengers. Died down before landing.

Leisure traveler · June

Rough patch crossing the Himalayas in March — drinks went everywhere on the row behind me. Probably 45 minutes of actual turbulence. Nothing dangerous but definitely uncomfortable.

Business traveler · March

The mid-flight section was legitimately rough. I was holding on to the armrests. Lasted maybe 40 minutes. One of the flight attendants had to sit down. Not a fun 4h 30m flight but we landed fine.

Solo traveler · April

All HND routes→ All MNL routes→

Frequently asked questions

Is the Tokyo to Manila flight turbulent?

The HND–MNL route typically experiences moderate turbulence. Light turbulence may occur — mostly smooth with occasional bumps. The turbulence score for this route is 38/100.

When is turbulence worst on HND to MNL?

Turbulence peaks mid-flight over the Atlantic. First and last hour are usually smooth. Check the turbulence chart above for the typical pattern along this specific route.

Which seat is smoothest on HND to MNL?

Wing seats are always the smoothest. On a Boeing 777 (312 seats) (the most common aircraft on this route), that's rows 30–42. Avoid the very rear of the aircraft — it amplifies turbulence motion.

How long is the flight from HND to MNL?

The HND to MNL flight takes approximately 4h 30m, covering 2,103 miles (1,828 nautical miles).

Which airlines fly HND to MNL?

The main airlines operating this route are ANA, Philippine Airlines, JAL, flying Boeing 777 · Boeing 787 aircraft.

Data Sources

PIREP — Pilot reports (PIREPs) submitted via FAA/ICAO systems, aggregated over 12+ months of historical data
SIGMET / AIRMET — Significant Meteorological Information bulletins from NOAA Aviation Weather Center
EDR data — Eddy Dissipation Rate measurements from commercial aircraft (ADS-B derived turbulence intensity)
Seasonal patterns — 5-year rolling averages of turbulence frequency and intensity by month for this route

Scores represent typical conditions. Actual turbulence varies daily. For real-time forecasts, use the Turbulence Forecast app. · About our data