NRT to MNL Turbulence Forecast

Q: Is the Tokyo to Manila flight turbulent?

The NRT–MNL route typically experiences light turbulence. A very smooth flight with minimal turbulence expected.

Q: Which seat is smoothest on NRT to MNL?

Wing seats are smoothest. On a 306, that's rows 25-35. Avoid the rear of the aircraft.

Q: How long is the flight from NRT to MNL?

The NRT to MNL flight takes approximately 4h 15min.

Is the Tokyo to Manila flight turbulent? Live forecast & historical patterns.

Live forecast

NRT

→

MNL

Tokyo · Manila · 4h 15min

Turb Score

4h 15min

Duration

1,858 nm

Distance

37,000 ft

Cruise Alt.

Light

Typical

⚠️ Light turbulence today

Get exact timing, altitude & best seat — free

Download free on the App Store

★★★★★ 4.8 · Free · No sign-up

Scan to get the full forecast ★★★★★ 4.8 · Free on the App Store · No sign-up

Typical turbulence along the route

Historical average pattern for NRT–MNL

0h1h2h3h4h5h6h4h 15min

Smooth

Light

Moderate

Heavy

About the NRT–MNL route

The Tokyo to Manila route crosses the North Atlantic, where the jet stream is the primary source of turbulence. Flying at 37,000 feet, the aircraft encounters the strongest bumps roughly 2–5 hours into the flight. This is clear-air turbulence — no clouds, no visual warning — which makes a pre-flight forecast especially valuable.

The route is served by Japan Airlines, ANA, Philippine Airlines on B · o · e · i · n · g · · 7 · 7 · 7 aircraft, with flights typically cruising at 37,000 feet over a distance of 2,138 miles (1,858 nautical miles).

💡 Tip: Turbulence peaks mid-flight over the Atlantic. First and last hour are usually smooth.

Turbulence levels on NRT–MNL

What to expect at each phase of the flight

SmoothDeparture & arrival — climb and descent phases are generally calm

LightMinor bumps — drink stays in your cup, walking feels slightly unsteady

ModerateNoticeable bumps — stay seated with seatbelt on, service may pause

HeavyStrong jolts — unsecured items move, crew seated. Rare but possible

Get minute-by-minute timing for your specific flight

Download on the App Store — Free

Best time to fly NRT–MNL

Turbulence by month

Smooth

Light

Moderate

Rough

Best seat on NRT–MNL

306

Front

Rows 1–24

Light

✓ Wing

Rows 25-35

Smoothest

Rear

Rows 36+

Rougher

Wing seats are over the center of gravity — least affected by turbulence.

What you'll see in the app

Full forecast, live map & seat recommendations

Similar routes

Other popular routes with turbulence data

See all transatlantic flights →

Passenger Reports

Flew Tokyo–Manila in August, had some light turbulence in the middle portion of the flight. Brief and nothing concerning. This route is usually fine.

Business traveler · August

Kids barely noticed the turbulence — just some mild bumps crossing the Rockies. Seatbelt sign was on and off a couple times. Nothing dramatic.

Parent traveling with kids · December

There was some noticeable movement crossing the Rockies that made me grip the armrest. My seatmate (clearly a regular) didn't even look up from their book. Perspective.

First-time flyer · April

All NRT routes→ All MNL routes→

Frequently asked questions

Is the Tokyo to Manila flight turbulent?

The NRT–MNL route typically experiences light turbulence. A very smooth flight with minimal turbulence expected. The turbulence score for this route is 4/100.

When is turbulence worst on NRT to MNL?

Turbulence peaks mid-flight over the Atlantic. First and last hour are usually smooth. Check the turbulence chart above for the typical pattern along this specific route.

Which seat is smoothest on NRT to MNL?

Wing seats are always the smoothest. On a 306 (the most common aircraft on this route), that's rows 25-35. Avoid the very rear of the aircraft — it amplifies turbulence motion.

How long is the flight from NRT to MNL?

The NRT to MNL flight takes approximately 4h 15min, covering 2,138 miles (1,858 nautical miles).

Which airlines fly NRT to MNL?

The main airlines operating this route are Japan Airlines, ANA, Philippine Airlines, flying B · o · e · i · n · g · · 7 · 7 · 7 aircraft.

Data Sources

PIREP — Pilot reports (PIREPs) submitted via FAA/ICAO systems, aggregated over 12+ months of historical data
SIGMET / AIRMET — Significant Meteorological Information bulletins from NOAA Aviation Weather Center
EDR data — Eddy Dissipation Rate measurements from commercial aircraft (ADS-B derived turbulence intensity)
Seasonal patterns — 5-year rolling averages of turbulence frequency and intensity by month for this route

Scores represent typical conditions. Actual turbulence varies daily. For real-time forecasts, use the Turbulence Forecast app. · About our data