2026 ranking · 11,148 routes scored against every six hours of 2025 upper-air wind data · Updated October 25, 2026
Share of 2025 with moderate-or-worse clear-air turbulence conditions along the cruise part of the route. One route per city pair.
Search 9,845 routes by city or airport code. Ranked 1 (roughest) to 9,845 (smoothest).
The 30 routes our visitors check most, from roughest to smoothest.
Between major US airports. The Northeast and Great Lakes in winter dominate.
North America ↔ Europe. Rough air peaks in March over the North Atlantic jet.
Europe is the calmest major region at cruise altitude; the British Isles and Aegean see the most rough air.
Eastern China, Korea and Japan sit under the world's strongest winter jet stream.
Asia ↔ North America.
Australian domestic routes are among the roughest anywhere, peaking in the southern winter (June–August).
Southern Brazil and northern Argentina lead. Andes crossings are rougher than this shows: see Limitations.
Average rough-air time across each region's routes in 2025. The red bar is the worst month.
Routes over 2,000 km between major airports with the least rough air at cruise, excluding routes over high mountains. Mostly tropical, far from the jet streams.
Data. NOAA NCEP/NCAR Reanalysis 1: global winds and heights at 300, 250 and 200 hPa (about FL300, FL340 and FL390), every six hours from January 1 to December 31, 2025 (1,460 snapshots, 2.5° grid).
Turbulence model. Clear-air turbulence is driven mainly by vertical wind shear around jet streams. For each snapshot we computed the vector wind shear (knots per 1,000 ft) in two layers, FL300–FL340 and FL340–FL390, and boosted it near strong jets. This is the same formula and the same thresholds the Turbulence Forecast app uses for its live forecasts. "Rough-air time" is the share of snapshots in which the shear reached the moderate-turbulence threshold, averaged over both layers.
Routes. We scored 11,148 airport pairs from our route database along the great-circle path, sampled every 50 km, leaving out the first and last 100 km (climb and descent). The ranking keeps one route per city pair (for example, one London – New York entry) and only routes over 300 km, 9,845 in total. Regional lists use major airports only.
Limitations. This ranking measures clear-air turbulence at cruise altitude. It does not capture mountain-wave turbulence, such as over the Andes, Rockies, Alps or Himalayas, or turbulence inside thunderstorms. Routes crossing high mountains, like Santiago – Mendoza or Denver – Jackson Hole, can be rougher than their score suggests, especially near the airports. Real flights also change altitude and route to avoid rough air, so a high score means "more often bumpy", not "dangerous". The 2.5° grid smooths out small-scale features, so read scores as relative rankings rather than exact probabilities.
Journalists, bloggers and researchers are welcome to cite, chart or republish these rankings. Please credit with a link:
Licensed CC BY 4.0. NCEP/NCAR Reanalysis data provided by the NOAA PSL, Boulder, Colorado, USA.
Routes tell you how often the air is rough. For the worst single days, from BOAC 911 at Mount Fuji to Singapore Airlines SQ321, see 23 sourced cases.
Read: the worst turbulence incidents →