Most Turbulent Flight Routes in the World

2026 ranking · 11,148 routes scored against every six hours of 2025 upper-air wind data · Updated October 25, 2026

World's most turbulent route
Shanghai – Xi'anSHA ↔ XIY · rough-air conditions at cruise 16.7% of the time · worst in February
Boston – DetroitBumpiest US route
Atlanta – DublinBumpiest transatlantic
FebruaryRoughest month in the US
EuropeCalmest major region

Key findings

The 20 most turbulent flight routes in the world

Share of 2025 with moderate-or-worse clear-air turbulence conditions along the cruise part of the route. One route per city pair.

Smooth <2%Light 2–5%Bumpy 5–12%Rough 12%+

How turbulent is your route?

Search 9,845 routes by city or airport code. Ranked 1 (roughest) to 9,845 (smoothest).

Most turbulent US domestic routes

Between major US airports. The Northeast and Great Lakes in winter dominate.

Most turbulent transatlantic routes

North America ↔ Europe. Rough air peaks in March over the North Atlantic jet.

Most turbulent routes in Europe

Europe is the calmest major region at cruise altitude; the British Isles and Aegean see the most rough air.

Most turbulent routes in Asia

Eastern China, Korea and Japan sit under the world's strongest winter jet stream.

Most turbulent transpacific routes

Asia ↔ North America.

Most turbulent routes in Australia & Oceania

Australian domestic routes are among the roughest anywhere, peaking in the southern winter (June–August).

Most turbulent routes in Latin America

Southern Brazil and northern Argentina lead. Andes crossings are rougher than this shows: see Limitations.

When is turbulence worst? Month by month

Average rough-air time across each region's routes in 2025. The red bar is the worst month.

US domesticPeak: February
US domestic, January: 12.3%US domestic, February: 13.2%US domestic, March: 11.9%US domestic, April: 3.2%US domestic, May: 5.3%US domestic, June: 1.2%US domestic, July: 0.3%US domestic, August: 0.7%US domestic, September: 0.9%US domestic, October: 3.4%US domestic, November: 5.7%US domestic, December: 9.0%
TransatlanticPeak: March
Transatlantic, January: 5.4%Transatlantic, February: 5.4%Transatlantic, March: 7.0%Transatlantic, April: 4.5%Transatlantic, May: 2.1%Transatlantic, June: 1.2%Transatlantic, July: 1.0%Transatlantic, August: 1.3%Transatlantic, September: 1.8%Transatlantic, October: 2.9%Transatlantic, November: 3.4%Transatlantic, December: 6.0%
AsiaPeak: February
Asia, January: 7.2%Asia, February: 9.5%Asia, March: 8.5%Asia, April: 6.0%Asia, May: 1.6%Asia, June: 0.5%Asia, July: 0.7%Asia, August: 0.3%Asia, September: 0.2%Asia, October: 0.7%Asia, November: 3.1%Asia, December: 7.9%
TranspacificPeak: December
Transpacific, January: 4.5%Transpacific, February: 5.0%Transpacific, March: 5.5%Transpacific, April: 3.6%Transpacific, May: 2.7%Transpacific, June: 1.5%Transpacific, July: 0.6%Transpacific, August: 1.2%Transpacific, September: 1.6%Transpacific, October: 2.4%Transpacific, November: 4.0%Transpacific, December: 5.9%
EuropePeak: January
Europe, January: 3.1%Europe, February: 1.4%Europe, March: 2.8%Europe, April: 1.7%Europe, May: 0.6%Europe, June: 0.6%Europe, July: 0.5%Europe, August: 1.0%Europe, September: 1.2%Europe, October: 2.2%Europe, November: 1.2%Europe, December: 2.0%
Australia & OceaniaPeak: July
Australia & Oceania, January: 2.1%Australia & Oceania, February: 2.4%Australia & Oceania, March: 3.2%Australia & Oceania, April: 8.8%Australia & Oceania, May: 7.4%Australia & Oceania, June: 13.6%Australia & Oceania, July: 14.8%Australia & Oceania, August: 12.6%Australia & Oceania, September: 10.7%Australia & Oceania, October: 8.4%Australia & Oceania, November: 10.8%Australia & Oceania, December: 5.5%
Latin AmericaPeak: April
Latin America, January: 1.8%Latin America, February: 1.2%Latin America, March: 2.1%Latin America, April: 2.6%Latin America, May: 1.7%Latin America, June: 2.4%Latin America, July: 1.6%Latin America, August: 2.1%Latin America, September: 1.0%Latin America, October: 0.7%Latin America, November: 1.7%Latin America, December: 1.9%
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The smoothest long-haul flights

Routes over 2,000 km between major airports with the least rough air at cruise, excluding routes over high mountains. Mostly tropical, far from the jet streams.

Methodology

Data. NOAA NCEP/NCAR Reanalysis 1: global winds and heights at 300, 250 and 200 hPa (about FL300, FL340 and FL390), every six hours from January 1 to December 31, 2025 (1,460 snapshots, 2.5° grid).

Turbulence model. Clear-air turbulence is driven mainly by vertical wind shear around jet streams. For each snapshot we computed the vector wind shear (knots per 1,000 ft) in two layers, FL300–FL340 and FL340–FL390, and boosted it near strong jets. This is the same formula and the same thresholds the Turbulence Forecast app uses for its live forecasts. "Rough-air time" is the share of snapshots in which the shear reached the moderate-turbulence threshold, averaged over both layers.

Routes. We scored 11,148 airport pairs from our route database along the great-circle path, sampled every 50 km, leaving out the first and last 100 km (climb and descent). The ranking keeps one route per city pair (for example, one London – New York entry) and only routes over 300 km, 9,845 in total. Regional lists use major airports only.

Limitations. This ranking measures clear-air turbulence at cruise altitude. It does not capture mountain-wave turbulence, such as over the Andes, Rockies, Alps or Himalayas, or turbulence inside thunderstorms. Routes crossing high mountains, like Santiago – Mendoza or Denver – Jackson Hole, can be rougher than their score suggests, especially near the airports. Real flights also change altitude and route to avoid rough air, so a high score means "more often bumpy", not "dangerous". The 2.5° grid smooths out small-scale features, so read scores as relative rankings rather than exact probabilities.

Use this data

Journalists, bloggers and researchers are welcome to cite, chart or republish these rankings. Please credit with a link:

Source: Turbulence Forecast, <a href="https://turbulence-forecast.com/most-turbulent-flights/">Most Turbulent Flight Routes</a>, based on NOAA NCEP/NCAR Reanalysis 2025 data.
Download all 9,845 routes (CSV)

Licensed CC BY 4.0. NCEP/NCAR Reanalysis data provided by the NOAA PSL, Boulder, Colorado, USA.

The worst turbulence incidents in history

Routes tell you how often the air is rough. For the worst single days, from BOAC 911 at Mount Fuji to Singapore Airlines SQ321, see 23 sourced cases.

Read: the worst turbulence incidents →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most turbulent flight route in the world?
In our 2025 data, Shanghai – Xi'an (SHA–XIY) had the highest share of time with moderate-or-worse clear-air turbulence conditions at cruise altitude (16.7%). Routes across eastern China, between Japan, Korea and Shanghai, and along Australia's east coast fill the rest of the top 20.
What is the most turbulent flight route in the US?
Boston – Detroit ranks first among US domestic routes between major airports (7.4% of the time). Routes across the Great Lakes and New England dominate the US list, with February the roughest month.
Which month has the most turbulence?
In the Northern Hemisphere, clear-air turbulence peaks in winter, December to March, when jet streams are strongest. US routes peak in February, transatlantic routes in March, Asian routes in February. Summer brings smoother air at cruise altitude but more thunderstorm turbulence, which this ranking does not measure.
What are the smoothest long flights?
Tropical routes far from the jet streams. Among long-haul routes between major airports, Hong Kong – Nadi and Bangkok – Manila had almost no rough-air conditions at cruise in 2025, though tropical routes can still meet thunderstorms.
Is turbulence dangerous?
For a seat-belted passenger, very rarely. Commercial aircraft are built to withstand far stronger forces than turbulence produces. Nearly all turbulence injuries happen to people who are not wearing a seat belt, so keep it fastened whenever you are seated.
How is this ranking calculated?
We took NOAA's NCEP/NCAR reanalysis for every six hours of 2025 (1,460 snapshots) and computed vertical wind shear between 30,000 and 39,000 ft, the main driver of clear-air turbulence. We used the same thresholds our app uses for forecasts. For each of 11,148 airport pairs we sampled the great-circle path every 50 km, skipping climb and descent. The score is the share of time conditions along the route reached the moderate level.
Can I use this data?
Yes. You're welcome to cite, chart or republish the rankings and the CSV, with a link to this page as the source.
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