What Causes Turbulence?

Turbulence is irregular air motion that causes an aircraft to move unpredictably. It's caused by several distinct atmospheric phenomena — some predictable, some invisible, some unavoidable. Here's the complete explanation.

Jet stream turbulence — the main culprit on long-haul flights

The jet stream is a narrow band of fast-moving air at cruise altitude, typically 30,000–40,000 feet. It flows from west to east across the North Atlantic and North Pacific, reaching speeds of 100–200 mph. When an aircraft crosses the jet stream boundary — flying from slow air into fast air or vice versa — the wind shear creates turbulence. This is why transatlantic routes are consistently bumpy in winter (jet stream strongest December–March) and smooth in summer. Westbound flights that fight the jet stream spend more time in the wind-shear zone and are typically rougher than eastbound flights riding the same stream.

Mountain turbulence — predictable but severe

When wind flows over a mountain range, it creates waves on the downwind (lee) side that can extend to cruise altitude and beyond. Mountain wave turbulence (also called orographic turbulence) is predictable because it occurs whenever strong winds meet a mountain range — the Andes in South America, the Rockies in North America, the Alps in Europe, and the Himalayas in Asia. Andes crossings (Santiago–Buenos Aires, Santiago–Mendoza) consistently produce the world's highest turbulence scores because the Andes reach 22,000+ feet and create massive wave systems. Rocky Mountain approaches (Denver from the west, Aspen, Jackson Hole) experience the same effect at a smaller scale. Mountain turbulence is detectable from weather models and gives pilots advance warning.

Convective turbulence — thunderstorms and thermal activity

Cumulonimbus (CB) clouds — thunderstorms — generate extreme updrafts and downdrafts that extend from near the ground to well above cruise altitude. Convective turbulence near CB cells is the most intense type — EDR values near large thunderstorms can reach 0.8+ (extreme). Pilots use weather radar to detect and route around CB cells. Tropical routes have higher convective turbulence risk: Caribbean hurricane season (June–November), Southeast Asian monsoon (May–October), and sub-Saharan Africa (year-round). In the US, summer convection over the Midwest (April–September) creates turbulence on domestic routes.

Wake turbulence — caused by other aircraft

Every aircraft generates wing-tip vortices — rotating cylinders of air that trail behind it. These vortices can be violent enough to roll a following aircraft if it flies through them. Wake turbulence rules require minimum spacing between aircraft (3–6 minutes behind a heavy aircraft). On final approach and departure, wake turbulence is carefully managed by air traffic control. At cruise altitude, wake turbulence dissipates quickly and affects other aircraft only in rare cases. If you feel a sudden single jolt in cruise — sometimes described as 'hitting a wall' — it may be a wake turbulence encounter.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Does turbulence happen more often in summer or winter?
It depends on the type: jet stream turbulence (transatlantic/transpacific) is worst in winter (jet stream at maximum strength, December–March). Mountain turbulence has no clear seasonal peak — it occurs when winds are strong, year-round. Convective turbulence peaks in summer — thunderstorm season in the US is April–September, tropical monsoon adds to this. Overall, winter tends to be rougher on long-haul routes, while summer is rougher on US domestic routes due to convection.
Why is turbulence worse at night?
Turbulence is not inherently worse at night — in fact, convective turbulence (from thermal heating) is typically calmer at night because the sun-driven convection cycle stops. However, some passengers perceive night turbulence as more frightening because they can't see the horizon (which helps motion sickness) and because other cabin activity is reduced, making turbulence more noticeable. On routes with jet stream turbulence, day vs night makes little difference.
Is turbulence worse during takeoff and landing?
Low-altitude turbulence — below 10,000 feet — is common and caused by: wind shear near the surface, terrain effects (hills, buildings), and thermal activity. This turbulence is typically moderate and brief. Mountain airports (Denver, Innsbruck, Cusco) can have severe low-altitude turbulence on approach due to mountain waves. High-altitude cruise turbulence is usually stronger and longer-lasting than departure/arrival turbulence, though the low-altitude variety feels more alarming because the aircraft is close to the ground.
Can weather apps predict turbulence?
Standard weather apps (weather.com, etc.) do not provide turbulence forecasts — they show precipitation, wind, and temperature for ground level. Aviation turbulence is forecast using tools like: (1) TurboTrack — route-specific turbulence scores using PIREP, SIGMET, and EDR data, (2) Aviation Weather Center (aviationweather.gov) — official US turbulence forecasts, (3) Turbli.com, Windy.com — pilot-oriented weather visualization. The TurboTrack app provides the most passenger-friendly turbulence forecast, translating complex aviation data into a simple per-route score.
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